A Banquet of Consequences: Systems Thinking and Modeling for Climate Policy-Dire Warning

I have added a new video conference to my video wall. It is a rousing cry for action to master global warming effectively.

A few notes I made from the video are as follows:


-Playing Russian roulette with the future of  climate change.
-19/20 chances that the barrel is loaded except that the barrel is not aimed at us but at our children!
-Even if C02 emissions dropped in the recession year 2008 concentration of CO2 in the atmosphere continued to rise.
-AIM IPPC: Temp rise <2°C,  (3.6°F)
Mean estimate MIT:
-Biz as usual T >5°C (9.5F) expected warming by Year 2100
-90% confidence level
Very lucky - Lower bound 5% chance Temp rise 3.5°C
Very Unlucky 5% chance Temp rise  7.5°C
-Leads to the Russian roulette analogy above

No brushing of Climate Warming Issues under the proverbial carpet
SOLUTIONS Given - So TUNE IN and Develop the Adequate Global Job markets.

Although the video does not adequately show the figures presented slides are presented separately at the reference below:

REFERENCE

"A Banquet of Consequences: Systems Thinking and Modeling for Climate Policy" is a presentation given by John Sterman, Jay W. Forrester Professor of Management, MIT Sloan School of Management; Professor of System Dynamics and Engineering Systems, MIT; Director, MIT System Dynamics Group at the MIT System Design and Management's 2010 Systems Thinking for Contemporary Challenges Conference on October 21, 2010. Please reference the link below for John Sterman's presentation:
Climate Policy_Systems Thinking Conference_2010 by John Sterman (pdf)

Materials Science and Technology -Edited by Maney Press, Leeds,UK for IOM3

Materials Science and Technology Up-date:
This highly reputable peer reviewed journal is published monthly.


The journal covers fundamental and technological aspects of the properties, characterisation, modelling, processing, and fabrication of engineering materials, with a particular interest in microstructure–property–processing relationships. Now the full archives from its first issue on January 1985 to date are available online.  At present all papers from 1st of January 1990 are freely available to members of The Institute of Materials Minerals and Mining: Logo below:
 

Meet the author via his seminal paper in Materials Science and Technology:
Optimizing deoxidation and desulphurization during vacuum induction melting of alloy 718

pp. 167-170(4)  Author: Alexander, J.

This paper marked an important step in improved quality and cost of premium quality, superalloys for aeroengine hot parts. It was a first in qualifying recycled alloy for use in aeroengine for civil aircraft use. (in 1985 a military aeroengine was required to withstand 5000hrs in service, whereas aero engines in civilian -passenger aircraft were required to withstand 50 000hrs in service, a factor of 10, a full order of magnitude.

Should manufacturers, would be manufacturers or users require further information please do not hesitate to contact the author.

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